AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Oct 19, 2024

Glentoran

Home
VS
14:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Glentoran Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Carrick Rangers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.38 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Glentoran Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 0-1
Oct 12 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 2-0
Oct 04 Glentoran vs Linfield 1-3
Oct 01 Glentoran vs Newington… 2-3
Sep 28 Glentoran vs Glentoran 0-0
Sep 21 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-1
Sep 20 Glentoran vs Larne 2-0
Sep 17 Glentoran vs Larne 0-0
Sep 14 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
Sep 07 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-0
Carrick Rangers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 2-1
Oct 05 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Oct 01 Carrick R… vs Queen's U… 0-1
Sep 28 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 4-0
Sep 21 Carrick R… vs Linfield 1-0
Sep 17 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 1-4
Sep 14 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 3-1
Sep 07 Carrick R… vs Portadown 0-1
Aug 31 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-1
Aug 23 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Glentoran in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2024 Carrick Rangers 2 - 3 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 10, 2024 Glentoran 2 - 2 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 04, 2023 Glentoran 2 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 18, 2023 Carrick Rangers 0 - 4 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 07, 2023 Carrick Rangers 1 - 5 Glentoran Premiership
Oct 07, 2022 Glentoran 5 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Glentoran to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Glentoran Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Glentoran Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.