AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 04, 2023

Glentoran

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Glentoran Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Carrick Rangers Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.05 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Glentoran Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Glentoran vs Glentoran 3-1
Oct 07 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 4-1
Sep 30 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 2-1
Sep 30 Glentoran vs Larne 0-4
Sep 23 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 2-0
Sep 22 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 1-2
Sep 16 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 0-0
Sep 09 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 3-1
Sep 02 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 1-0
Aug 12 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 3-0
Carrick Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Carrick R… vs Larne 2-0
Oct 13 Carrick R… vs Linfield 1-2
Sep 30 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-1
Sep 22 Carrick R… vs Larne 4-1
Sep 09 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 01 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-1
Aug 26 Carrick R… vs Linfield 3-3
Aug 22 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 9-0
Aug 19 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 4-0
Aug 15 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Glentoran struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 18, 2023 Carrick Rangers 0 - 4 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 07, 2023 Carrick Rangers 1 - 5 Glentoran Premiership
Oct 07, 2022 Glentoran 5 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Glentoran to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Glentoran Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Glentoran Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.