Welsh Cup · Sep 17, 2022 13:30
Penrhyncoch
PWR 11
1 - 1
FT
Caersws
PWR 41
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (57% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
57%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack23
Defense7
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.7
Attack35
Defense53
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Penrhyncoch Form DWLLW
STABLE
Caersws Form N/A
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS61%
Under 2.543%
Penrhyncoch Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Caersws Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Penrhyncoch
vs
1.55
Caersws
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum50%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#39
Penrhyncoch
-14
Gap
#25
Caersws
WR 0% 1 pts WR 33% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Penrhyncoch3012281
Caersws3111344
Penrhyncoch 10.0%
Sep 06 Penrhyn… v Ruthin … 1-1
Jul 30 Penrhyn… v Gresfor… 1-0
Jul 23 Penrhyn… v Buckley… 0-2
Apr 09 Penrhyn… v Gresfor… 4-2
Mar 05 Penrhyn… v Guilsfi… 3-0
Feb 12 Penrhyn… v Airbus … 1-1
Jan 22 Penrhyn… v Buckley… 1-0
Dec 04 Penrhyn… v Ruthin … 5-1
Nov 06 Penrhyn… v Gresfor… 2-1
Sep 18 Penrhyn… v Guilsfi… 2-2
Caersws 50%
No recent data
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.