AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Feb 22, 2025

Llantwit Major

Home
VS
14:00

Cwmbran Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Llantwit Major Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Cwmbran Celtic Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.57 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Llantwit Major Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Llantwit Major Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 0-2
Nov 30 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 0-0
Nov 02 Llantwit … vs Afan Lido 2-0
Oct 25 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 0-1
Sep 27 Llantwit … vs Trethomas… 1-1
Aug 23 Llantwit … vs Afan Lido 1-3
Aug 03 Llantwit … vs Cardiff M… 2-3
Jul 27 Llantwit … vs Trethomas… 0-1
Jul 20 Llantwit … vs Newport C… 2-0
Apr 20 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 0-3
Cwmbran Celtic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 1-0
Jan 07 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-1
Dec 28 Cwmbran C… vs Newport C… 0-1
Nov 30 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 4-6
Oct 11 Cwmbran C… vs Pontyprid… 2-0
Jul 20 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-3
Apr 20 Cwmbran C… vs Goytre Un… 3-1
Apr 17 Cwmbran C… vs Trefelin 4-1
Mar 29 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-0
Mar 16 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Llantwit Major 1 - 1 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 19, 2023 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 1 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Mar 11, 2023 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Oct 08, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 2 Llantwit Major Welsh Cup
Aug 13, 2022 Llantwit Major 0 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Apr 30, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 0 - 5 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Jul 24, 2021 Llantwit Major 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Llantwit Major Power 0
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.