AI Match Insights

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Primera División Femenina Mar 24, 2024

Real Madrid Women

Home
VS
17:00

Barcelona Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Real Madrid Women Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Barcelona Women Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.88 - 3.39
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Barcelona Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 0-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Real Madrid Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Real Madr… vs Sevilla F… 0-1
Feb 14 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 27 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 0-1
Jan 17 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 4-0
Dec 20 Real Madr… vs Paris FC … 0-1
Dec 14 Real Madr… vs Paris FC … 2-1
Dec 09 Real Madr… vs Sevilla F… 1-3
Nov 19 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 5-0
Nov 10 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 7-1
Oct 22 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 1-2
Barcelona Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Barcelona… vs Granadill… 7-0
Feb 18 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 2-0
Feb 10 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 0-3
Jan 31 Barcelona… vs Benfica 4-4
Jan 17 Barcelona… vs Real Madr… 4-0
Jan 06 Barcelona… vs Levante L… 9-1
Dec 17 Barcelona… vs Granadill… 0-2
Nov 26 Barcelona… vs Athletic … 0-4
Nov 19 Barcelona… vs Real Madr… 5-0
Nov 14 Barcelona… vs Benfica 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barcelona Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2024 Barcelona Women 4 - 0 Real Madrid Women Supercopa Feme…
Nov 19, 2023 Barcelona Women 5 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 25, 2023 Barcelona Women 1 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Nov 06, 2022 Real Madrid Women 0 - 4 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 30, 2022 Barcelona Women 5 - 2 Real Madrid Women UEFA Champions…
Mar 22, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 3 Barcelona Women UEFA Champions…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Barcelona Women Power 67
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Madrid Women Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Barcelona Women Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 88%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.