AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Femenina Nov 19, 2023

Barcelona Women

Home
VS
11:00

Real Madrid Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Barcelona Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Real Madrid Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 2.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Barcelona Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Barcelona… vs Benfica 5-0
Nov 05 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 8-0
Oct 15 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 0-1
Sep 16 Barcelona… vs Madrid CF… 0-2
May 21 Barcelona… vs Madrid CF… 2-1
May 13 Barcelona… vs Athletic … 3-0
May 10 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 1-1
Apr 27 Barcelona… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
Apr 22 Barcelona… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Apr 15 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 4-0
Real Madrid Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 7-1
Oct 22 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 1-2
Oct 14 Real Madr… vs Granada 2-5
May 19 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 1-1
May 14 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 3-2
May 05 Real Madr… vs Sevilla F… 0-2
Mar 25 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 1-0
Mar 12 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 0-0
Feb 01 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 4-1
Jan 28 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barcelona Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Real Madrid Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 25, 2023 Barcelona Women 1 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Nov 06, 2022 Real Madrid Women 0 - 4 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 30, 2022 Barcelona Women 5 - 2 Real Madrid Women UEFA Champions…
Mar 22, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 3 Barcelona Women UEFA Champions…
Final Verdict

PRO: Barcelona Women to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barcelona Women Power 67
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Barcelona Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Real Madrid Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.