League One · Feb 25, 2025 19:45
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Burnley
PWR 25
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
1 - 2
FT
Burnley
PWR 25
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Burnley to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Northampton To… Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Burnley Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS37%
Under 2.570%
Northampton… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Burnley Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Northampton To…vs
0.83
BurnleyDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Northampton…-1
Gap#12
Burnley
WR 27% 100 pts
WR 36% 101 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Tow… | 96 | 26 | 22 | 48 | 92 | 133 | 100 |
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
Northampton To…
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Northam… v Bristol… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Northam… v Wrexham | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Northam… v Mansfie… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Northam… v Hudders… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Northam… v Bolton | 3-1 |
| Jan 25 | Northam… v Wycombe | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Northam… v Lincoln | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Northam… v Brighton | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Northam… v Bolton | 0-1 |
| Jan 01 | Northam… v Stevena… | 0-0 |
Burnley
18.0%
| Feb 22 | Burnley v Harroga… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Burnley v Rotherh… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Burnley v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burnley v Preston | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burnley v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burnley v Hudders… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Burnley v Hull Ci… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Burnley v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Burnley v Milton … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Burnley v Watford | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Northampton T… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.