League One · Aug 24, 2024 14:00

Burnley
PWR 25
2 - 2
FT

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Burnley Form WWWWW
UP
Northampton To… Form WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS18%
Under 2.545%
Burnley Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Northampton… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Burnley
vs
0.20
Northampton To…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Burnley
+1
Gap
#13
Northampton…
WR 36% 101 pts WR 27% 100 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Burnley77281732117128101
Northampton Tow…9626224892133100
Burnley 20.0%
Aug 17 Burnley v AFC Wim… 2-0
Aug 17 Burnley v Cardiff 5-0
Aug 17 Burnley v Lincoln 1-2
Aug 17 Burnley v Cardiff 5-0
Aug 17 Burnley v Lincoln 1-2
Aug 17 Burnley v AFC Wim… 2-0
Aug 13 Burnley v Wigan 1-1
Aug 13 Burnley v AFC Wim… 1-2
Aug 12 Burnley v Bolton 1-4
Aug 10 Burnley v Harroga… 0-2
Northampton To… 8.0%
Aug 17 Northam… v Exeter … 2-1
Aug 13 Northam… v Wycombe 0-2
Aug 10 Northam… v Bristol… 1-0
Apr 27 Northam… v Burnley 1-1
Apr 27 Northam… v Burnley 1-1
Apr 20 Northam… v Exeter … 1-2
Apr 20 Northam… v Exeter … 1-2
Apr 13 Northam… v Fleetwo… 2-0
Apr 13 Northam… v Fleetwo… 2-0
Apr 06 Northam… v Carlisle 2-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1-1 Northampton T…
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1-1 Northampton T…
Sep 23, 2023 Northampton T… 1-2 Burnley
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.