League One · Aug 24, 2024 14:00

Burnley
PWR 25

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31

Burnley
PWR 25
2 - 2
FT

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
65% H
21% D
14% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Burnley Form
WWWWW
UP
Northampton To… Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS18%
Under 2.545%
Burnley Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Northampton… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Burnleyvs
0.20
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Burnley+1
Gap#13
Northampton…
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 27% 100 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Northampton Tow… | 96 | 26 | 22 | 48 | 92 | 133 | 100 |
Burnley
20.0%
| Aug 17 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Lincoln | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5-0 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v Lincoln | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Aug 13 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Burnley v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
| Aug 12 | Burnley v Bolton | 1-4 |
| Aug 10 | Burnley v Harroga… | 0-2 |
Northampton To…
8.0%
| Aug 17 | Northam… v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Aug 13 | Northam… v Wycombe | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Northam… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Northam… v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Northam… v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 06 | Northam… v Carlisle | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.