AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Paraguay Nov 14, 2025

Club Guaraní

Home
VS
21:30

Nacional Asunción

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Club Guaraní Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Nacional Asunción Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.66 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club Guaraní Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Club Guaraní Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Club Guar… vs Libertad … 1-2
Nov 05 Club Guar… vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Nov 02 Club Guar… vs Cerro Por… 1-0
Oct 26 Club Guar… vs Olimpia 1-3
Oct 22 Club Guar… vs River Pla… 2-0
Oct 18 Club Guar… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 12 Club Guar… vs Sportivo … 1-1
Oct 05 Club Guar… vs Atlético … 1-0
Oct 01 Club Guar… vs Libertad … 2-2
Sep 26 Club Guar… vs Sportivo … 1-1
Nacional Asunción Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Nacional … vs Atlético … 0-2
Nov 05 Nacional … vs General C… 2-1
Nov 01 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Oct 27 Nacional … vs Cerro Por… 1-2
Oct 17 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Oct 12 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 1-1
Oct 06 Nacional … vs General C… 1-1
Oct 02 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Sep 27 Nacional … vs Libertad … 3-1
Sep 21 Nacional … vs Club Guar… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Guaraní struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Nacional Asunción struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Club Guaraní 2 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Jul 12, 2025 Nacional Asunción 1 - 0 Club Guaraní Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Club Guaraní to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club Guaraní Power 0
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.