AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Dec 11, 2025

Céleste

Home
VS
14:00

Dauphins Noirs

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Céleste Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dauphins Noirs Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.52 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Dauphins Noirs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Céleste Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Céleste vs Vita Club 0-0
Dec 04 Céleste vs Rangers FC 1-5
Dec 01 Céleste vs Renaissan… 0-0
Nov 24 Céleste vs JSK 0-1
Nov 12 Céleste vs FC MK 1-1
Nov 04 Céleste vs Etoile de… 0-0
Oct 30 Céleste vs Bukavu Da… 5-0
Oct 26 Céleste vs New Jack 2-1
Oct 23 Céleste vs Renaissan… 3-0
Apr 13 Céleste vs Renaissan… 1-1
Dauphins Noirs Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Dauphins … vs Anges Ver… 1-1
Dec 01 Dauphins … vs Rangers FC 1-1
Nov 22 Dauphins … vs FC MK 1-0
Nov 12 Dauphins … vs Etoile de… 0-3
Nov 09 Dauphins … vs Vita Club 0-1
Nov 05 Dauphins … vs Bukavu Da… 2-1
Nov 02 Dauphins … vs New Jack 1-1
Oct 26 Dauphins … vs Renaissan… 1-0
Dec 28 Dauphins … vs Vita Club 1-0
Dec 11 Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2024 Dauphins Noirs 1 - 0 Céleste Ligue 1
Nov 11, 2023 Céleste 0 - 1 Dauphins Noirs Ligue 1
Aug 26, 2023 Dauphins Noirs 0 - 0 Céleste Ligue 1
Nov 04, 2022 Céleste 0 - 1 Dauphins Noirs Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Céleste Power 0
Dauphins Noirs Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Céleste Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Dauphins Noirs Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.