AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Dec 11, 2025
Céleste
HomeVS
14:00
Dauphins Noirs
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Céleste Win
Draw
Dauphins Noirs Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.52 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dauphins Noirs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (16%)
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
Céleste Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 07 | Céleste vs Vita Club | 0-0 |
| Dec 04 | Céleste vs Rangers FC | 1-5 |
| Dec 01 | Céleste vs Renaissan… | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Céleste vs JSK | 0-1 |
| Nov 12 | Céleste vs FC MK | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Céleste vs Etoile de… | 0-0 |
| Oct 30 | Céleste vs Bukavu Da… | 5-0 |
| Oct 26 | Céleste vs New Jack | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | Céleste vs Renaissan… | 3-0 |
| Apr 13 | Céleste vs Renaissan… | 1-1 |
Dauphins Noirs Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 08 | Dauphins … vs Anges Ver… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Dauphins … vs Rangers FC | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Dauphins … vs FC MK | 1-0 |
| Nov 12 | Dauphins … vs Etoile de… | 0-3 |
| Nov 09 | Dauphins … vs Vita Club | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Dauphins … vs Bukavu Da… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Dauphins … vs New Jack | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Dauphins … vs Renaissan… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Dauphins … vs Vita Club | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Dauphins Noirs | 1 - 0 | Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Céleste | 0 - 1 | Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Dauphins Noirs | 0 - 0 | Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 04, 2022 | Céleste | 0 - 1 | Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Céleste Power
0
Dauphins Noirs Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Céleste Position-2
Position Gap3
Dauphins Noirs Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.