Super League · Nov 24, 2024 13:00

CIVO United
PWR 50
3 - 0
FT

Karonga United
PWR 45
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
CIVO United Form WWDWD
STABLE
Karonga United Form DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS13%
Under 2.582%
CIVO United Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
CIVO United
vs
0.20
Karonga United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
CIVO United
-1
Gap
#4
Karonga Uni…
WR 36% 87 pts WR 35% 101 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
CIVO United61222118735287
Karonga United772720308085101
CIVO United 16.0%
Sep 28 CIVO Un… v Moyale … 1-0
Sep 22 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 0-1
Sep 18 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 0-0
Aug 10 CIVO Un… v Chitipa… 4-0
Jul 31 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 2-2
May 24 CIVO Un… v Chitipa… 1-3
May 19 CIVO Un… v Karonga… 1-1
Apr 20 CIVO Un… v Moyale … 3-0
Apr 13 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 3-0
Nov 04 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 3-0
Karonga United 16.0%
Nov 17 Karonga… v Dedza D… 0-0
Oct 30 Karonga… v Mighty … 0-0
Oct 27 Karonga… v Creck 0-1
Oct 20 Karonga… v Bray Wa… 1-0
Sep 14 Karonga… v Ekwende… 0-1
Jul 31 Karonga… v Ekwende… 1-1
Jul 21 Karonga… v Nyasa B… 2-1
Jun 30 Karonga… v Dedza D… 1-0
May 19 Karonga… v CIVO Un… 1-1
May 11 Karonga… v Bray Wa… 1-0
Head-to-Head (7)
May 19, 2024 Karonga United 1-1 CIVO United
Sep 24, 2023 CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United
May 13, 2023 Karonga United 1-0 CIVO United
Sep 10, 2022 Karonga United 0-1 CIVO United
Apr 17, 2022 CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United
Jun 05, 2021 CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United
Jan 03, 2021 Karonga United 1-2 CIVO United
Key Factors
CIVO United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Karonga United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.