Super League · May 19, 2024 12:30
Karonga United
PWR 45
CIVO United
PWR 50
Karonga United
PWR 45
1 - 1
FT
CIVO United
PWR 50
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Karonga United Form
LDWLL
STABLE
CIVO United Form
LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS18%
Under 2.545%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
CIVO United Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Karonga Unitedvs
0.20
CIVO UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Karonga Uni…+1
Gap#5
CIVO United
WR 35% 101 pts
WR 36% 87 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 77 | 27 | 20 | 30 | 80 | 85 | 101 |
| CIVO United | 61 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 73 | 52 | 87 |
Karonga United
6.0%
| May 11 | Karonga… v Bray Wa… | 1-0 |
| May 05 | Karonga… v Creck | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Karonga… v Mighty … | 3-1 |
| Nov 29 | Karonga… v Nyasa B… | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Karonga… v Bray Wa… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Karonga… v Dedza D… | 2-2 |
| Sep 24 | Karonga… v CIVO Un… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Karonga… v Mighty … | 2-1 |
| Aug 20 | Karonga… v Ekwende… | 4-1 |
| Jul 29 | Karonga… v Nyasa B… | 2-0 |
CIVO United
10.0%
| Apr 20 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 3-0 |
| Apr 13 | CIVO Un… v Dedza D… | 3-0 |
| Nov 04 | CIVO Un… v Dedza D… | 3-0 |
| Oct 04 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | CIVO Un… v Karonga… | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 2-0 |
| Jul 15 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 2-2 |
| Jun 04 | CIVO Un… v Dedza D… | 2-1 |
| May 13 | CIVO Un… v Karonga… | 1-0 |
| May 06 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 24, 2023 | CIVO United | 1-1 | Karonga United |
| May 13, 2023 | Karonga United | 1-0 | CIVO United |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Karonga United | 0-1 | CIVO United |
| Apr 17, 2022 | CIVO United | 1-1 | Karonga United |
| Jun 05, 2021 | CIVO United | 0-1 | Karonga United |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Karonga United | 1-2 | CIVO United |
Key Factors
Karonga United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.