Predictions Match Details
Super League · Sep 24, 2023 12:30

CIVO United
PWR 50
1 - 1
FT

Karonga United
PWR 45
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
CIVO United Form LDLLD
STABLE
Karonga United Form LWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS44%
Under 2.538%
CIVO United Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
CIVO United
vs
0.59
Karonga United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
CIVO United
-1
Gap
#4
Karonga Uni…
WR 36% 87 pts WR 35% 101 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
CIVO United61222118735287
Karonga United772720308085101
CIVO United 4.0%
Sep 06 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 2-0
Jul 15 CIVO Un… v Moyale … 2-2
Jun 04 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 2-1
May 13 CIVO Un… v Karonga… 1-0
May 06 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 1-1
Nov 02 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 0-0
Sep 25 CIVO Un… v Moyale … 2-2
Sep 10 CIVO Un… v Karonga… 0-1
Sep 03 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 2-1
Jul 10 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 2-1
Karonga United 10.0%
Sep 20 Karonga… v Mighty … 2-1
Aug 20 Karonga… v Ekwende… 4-1
Jul 29 Karonga… v Nyasa B… 2-0
Jul 09 Karonga… v Dedza D… 2-1
Jun 10 Karonga… v Mighty … 1-1
Jun 04 Karonga… v Bray Wa… 1-2
May 27 Karonga… v Ekwende… 1-1
May 13 Karonga… v CIVO Un… 1-0
Nov 16 Karonga… v Nyasa B… 4-1
Oct 22 Karonga… v Bray Wa… 2-3
Head-to-Head (5)
May 13, 2023 Karonga United 1-0 CIVO United
Sep 10, 2022 Karonga United 0-1 CIVO United
Apr 17, 2022 CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United
Jun 05, 2021 CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United
Jan 03, 2021 Karonga United 1-2 CIVO United
Key Factors
CIVO United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.