Super League · Sep 10, 2022 12:30
Karonga United
PWR 45
CIVO United
PWR 50
Karonga United
PWR 45
0 - 1
FT
CIVO United
PWR 50
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Karonga United to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Karonga United Form
WLWDD
STABLE
CIVO United Form
LLDDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS13%
Under 2.580%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CIVO United Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Karonga Unitedvs
0.20
CIVO UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Karonga Uni…+1
Gap#5
CIVO United
WR 35% 101 pts
WR 36% 87 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 77 | 27 | 20 | 30 | 80 | 85 | 101 |
| CIVO United | 61 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 73 | 52 | 87 |
Karonga United
12.0%
| Jul 10 | Karonga… v Ekwende… | 1-0 |
| Jul 02 | Karonga… v Bray Wa… | 3-0 |
| May 21 | Karonga… v Mighty … | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Karonga… v Nyasa B… | 0-0 |
| Apr 17 | Karonga… v CIVO Un… | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Karonga… v Dedza D… | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Karonga… v Nyasa B… | 3-2 |
| Sep 05 | Karonga… v Ekwende… | 0-0 |
| Jul 11 | Karonga… v Mighty … | 1-1 |
| Jun 05 | Karonga… v CIVO Un… | 0-1 |
CIVO United
4.0%
| Sep 03 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 2-1 |
| Jul 10 | CIVO Un… v Dedza D… | 2-1 |
| Apr 17 | CIVO Un… v Karonga… | 1-1 |
| Apr 10 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 1-1 |
| Mar 26 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 1-0 |
| Jun 05 | CIVO Un… v Karonga… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | CIVO Un… v Karonga… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 17, 2022 | CIVO United | 1-1 | Karonga United |
| Jun 05, 2021 | CIVO United | 0-1 | Karonga United |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Karonga United | 1-2 | CIVO United |
Key Factors
CIVO United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.