AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 19, 2025

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
03:00

Newcastle Jets Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Newcastle Jets Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.53 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 12 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 09 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-3
Jan 04 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Dec 28 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 21 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Dec 08 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Nov 22 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Nov 17 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Nov 10 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 30 Wellingto… vs Western S… 2-0
Newcastle Jets Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 3-3
Dec 29 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-0
Dec 21 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 1-6
Dec 14 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Dec 08 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Nov 17 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 10 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Nov 03 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 28 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 17, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 1 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Feb 04, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 23, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Mar 25, 2023 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 27, 2021 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 10, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.