AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Nov 17, 2024

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
04:00

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.42 - 2.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 2.0
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Nov 03 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 28 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Apr 21 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-3
Apr 13 Newcastle… vs Western U… 2-4
Mar 29 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 0-8
Mar 23 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 3-2
Mar 17 Newcastle… vs Western U… 1-3
Mar 10 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Mar 03 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 30 Wellingto… vs Western S… 2-0
Mar 24 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 1-0
Mar 20 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 4-0
Mar 17 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-4
Mar 08 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 1-3
Mar 03 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 5-3
Feb 18 Wellingto… vs Western U… 3-0
Feb 04 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 3-2
Jan 28 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Wellington Phoenix Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 23, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Mar 25, 2023 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 27, 2021 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 10, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.