AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 04, 2024

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
06:00

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.25 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Newcastle… vs Central C… 0-2
Jan 21 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 2-1
Jan 13 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 06 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 3-3
Dec 31 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Dec 23 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Dec 10 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Nov 26 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 3-4
Nov 19 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 2-3
Nov 12 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 4-0
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 2-0
Jan 20 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 12 Wellingto… vs Central C… 1-2
Jan 07 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Dec 29 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Dec 23 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Dec 16 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Nov 25 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Nov 18 Wellingto… vs Central C… 1-0
Nov 04 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Mar 25, 2023 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Dec 27, 2021 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 10, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.