AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 27, 2021

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
07:45

Newcastle Jets Women

Away
AI Predictions 40.3% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
40.3%
Draw
25.9%
Newcastle Jets Women Win
33.7%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 0.59 - 2.22
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (15%) 0-1 (13%) 0-3 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Dec 10 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 5-1
Dec 03 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-0
Newcastle Jets Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 10 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 5-1
Dec 04 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 3-1
Mar 28 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Mar 20 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 14 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Mar 08 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 0-4
Feb 26 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Feb 20 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Feb 07 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.