AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jun 10, 2023

Atletico-MG

Home
VS
21:30

RB Bragantino

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Atletico-MG Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
RB Bragantino Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.09 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Atletico-MG Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 1-1
Apr 16 Atletico-… vs Vasco DA … 1-2
Apr 09 Atletico-… vs América M… 2-0
Apr 01 Atletico-… vs América M… 2-3
Mar 18 Atletico-… vs Athletic … 1-0
Mar 12 Atletico-… vs Athletic … 1-0
Jan 29 Atletico-… vs Tombense 1-2
Oct 24 Atletico-… vs Fortaleza 0-0
Oct 15 Atletico-… vs Flamengo 1-0
Sep 29 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 0-1
RB Bragantino Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 RB Bragan… vs Santos 2-0
Mar 12 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 2-0
Mar 12 RB Bragan… vs Cametá 2-0
Feb 11 RB Bragan… vs Mirassol 0-0
Jan 17 RB Bragan… vs São Berna… 1-1
Jan 15 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Nov 09 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 6-0
Oct 17 RB Bragan… vs Santos 0-2
Sep 29 RB Bragan… vs Internaci… 0-0
Sep 07 RB Bragan… vs Atletico-… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico-MG in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2022 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 11, 2022 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Dec 05, 2021 Atletico-MG 4 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jan 11, 2021 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico-MG Power 0
RB Bragantino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Atletico-MG Position

-12

Position Gap

1

RB Bragantino Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.