Carioca - 2 · Nov 22, 2025 18:00
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
Duque de Caxias
PWR 49
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
2 - 0
FT
Duque de Caxias
PWR 49
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bonsucesso to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (20%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (11%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense77
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.7
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G0.8
Bonsucesso Form
LLDDW
DOWN
Duque de Caxias Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS19%
Under 2.572%
Bonsucesso Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Duque de Ca… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Bonsucessovs
0.27
Duque de CaxiasDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bonsucesso+1
Gap#3
Duque de Ca…
WR 47% 26 pts
WR 46% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 26 |
| Duque de Caxias | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
Bonsucesso
8.0%
| Nov 15 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Bonsuce… v Serrano… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Bonsuce… v Carapeb… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Bonsuce… v Petrópo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Bonsuce… v Nova Ci… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Bonsuce… v Jataien… | 2-3 |
| Oct 11 | Bonsuce… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Bonsuce… v Friburg… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Bonsuce… v Campo G… | 1-1 |
Duque de Caxias
16.0%
| Nov 15 | Duque d… v Bonsuce… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Duque d… v Carapeb… | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Duque d… v Jataien… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Duque d… v Nova Ci… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Duque d… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Duque d… v Friburg… | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Duque d… v São Cri… | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | Duque d… v Campo G… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Duque d… v Bonsuce… | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Duque d… v Artsul | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Duque de Caxi… | 1-0 | Bonsucesso |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bonsucesso | 2-0 | Duque de Caxi… |
Key Factors
Duque de Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.