AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Dec 12, 2025

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
19:45

ST Johnstone

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
ST Johnstone Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.29 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
ST Johnstone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Ayr Utd Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Ayr Utd vs Peterhead 2-1
Dec 06 Ayr Utd vs Partick 0-0
Nov 29 Ayr Utd vs Turriff U… 3-0
Nov 22 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 0-1
Nov 15 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 1-1
Nov 08 Ayr Utd vs Ross Coun… 3-3
Oct 31 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 0-1
Oct 25 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 0-0
Oct 21 Ayr Utd vs Partick 2-1
Oct 18 Ayr Utd vs Morton 2-1
ST Johnstone Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 ST Johnst… vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Nov 29 ST Johnst… vs Cove Rang… 1-2
Nov 22 ST Johnst… vs Partick 2-1
Nov 15 ST Johnst… vs Queen's P… 4-3
Nov 08 ST Johnst… vs Dunfermli… 2-2
Nov 01 ST Johnst… vs Airdrieon… 3-0
Oct 25 ST Johnst… vs Morton 0-4
Oct 18 ST Johnst… vs Arbroath 3-1
Oct 11 ST Johnst… vs Ross Coun… 0-0
Oct 04 ST Johnst… vs Ayr Utd 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 ST Johnstone 0 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Jul 25, 2023 ST Johnstone 1 - 2 Ayr Utd League Cup
Jul 23, 2022 ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Ayr Utd League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ayr Utd Power 0
ST Johnstone Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Ayr Utd Position

-3

Position Gap

1

ST Johnstone Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.