Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2025 13:00
Bukavu Dawa
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Etoile de Kivu
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bukavu Dawa Form LLDDW
DOWN
Etoile de Kivu Form WWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS32%
Under 2.559%
Bukavu Dawa Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Etoile de K… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Bukavu Dawa
vs
0.47
Etoile de Kivu
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Bukavu Dawa
-1
Gap
#13
Etoile de K…
WR 20% 11 pts WR 22% 17 pts
Bukavu Dawa 8.0%
Dec 12 Bukavu … v Anges V… 4-3
Dec 04 Bukavu … v JSK 0-1
Nov 24 Bukavu … v Rangers… 2-2
Nov 20 Bukavu … v New Jack 0-0
Nov 09 Bukavu … v Céleste 3-0
Nov 03 Bukavu … v Etoile … 0-1
Oct 27 Bukavu … v Motema … 0-1
Oct 18 Bukavu … v Dauphin… 0-1
Oct 09 Bukavu … v Renaiss… 1-1
Oct 06 Bukavu … v Vita Cl… 2-2
Etoile de Kivu 14.0%
Mar 14 Etoile … v Rangers… 1-0
Dec 28 Etoile … v Motema … 1-0
Dec 11 Etoile … v Renaiss… 1-1
Dec 08 Etoile … v Vita Cl… 2-0
Dec 01 Etoile … v JSK 1-0
Nov 23 Etoile … v New Jack 1-0
Nov 03 Etoile … v Bukavu … 0-1
Oct 19 Etoile … v Anges V… 2-1
Oct 16 Etoile … v Rangers… 0-1
Oct 12 Etoile … v Céleste 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 03, 2024 Etoile de Kivu 0-1 Bukavu Dawa
Key Factors
Etoile de Kivu in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.