Serie A · Jun 16, 2024 19:00
Corinthians
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (39%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (8%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Corinthians Form
WLWLD
STABLE
São Paulo FC Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS14%
Under 2.593%
Corinthians Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Corinthiansvs
0.55
São Paulo FCDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Corinthians-14
Gap#5
São Paulo FC
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Corinthians
10.0%
| Jun 09 | Corinth… v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Jun 02 | Corinth… v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Corinth… v América… | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Corinth… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| May 05 | Corinth… v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Corinth… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Apr 17 | Corinth… v Juventu… | 2-0 |
| Apr 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-0 |
| Mar 24 | Corinth… v Maringá | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Corinth… v Maringá | 2-0 |
São Paulo FC
16.0%
| Jun 13 | São Pau… v Interna… | 0-0 |
| Jun 08 | São Pau… v Santos | 0-4 |
| May 13 | São Pau… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| May 05 | São Pau… v Vitoria | 1-3 |
| Apr 29 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | São Pau… v Flamengo | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | São Pau… v Macapá | 2-3 |
| Mar 03 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | São Pau… v Santos | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 30, 2024 | Corinthians | 1-2 | São Paulo FC |
| Sep 30, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 2-1 | Corinthians |
| Aug 16, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 2-0 | Corinthians |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Corinthians | 2-1 | São Paulo FC |
| May 14, 2023 | Corinthians | 1-1 | São Paulo FC |
| Jan 29, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 1-2 | Corinthians |
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.