Primera A · Nov 23, 2025 22:45

Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Independiente … Form LWDWW
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form WDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS56%
Under 2.536%
Independien… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.12
Independiente …
vs
0.84
Atlético Nacio…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings30%
Market50%
League Standings
#17
Independien…
-11
Gap
#6
Atlético Na…
WR 0% 2 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Independiente … 14.0%
Nov 20 Indepen… v Junior 1-0
Nov 14 Indepen… v America… 3-0
Nov 11 Indepen… v Envigado 1-1
Nov 07 Indepen… v Deporti… 1-4
Nov 03 Indepen… v Envigado 0-1
Oct 29 Indepen… v Bucaram… 3-0
Oct 26 Indepen… v Atlétic… 5-2
Oct 21 Indepen… v Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 17 Indepen… v Fortale… 3-1
Oct 13 Indepen… v Once Ca… 1-5
Atlético Nacio… 14.0%
Nov 21 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlétic… v America… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlétic… v Rionegr… 2-1
Nov 02 Atlétic… v America… 4-1
Oct 31 Atlétic… v Llaneros 0-3
Oct 26 Atlétic… v Indepen… 5-2
Oct 22 Atlétic… v Once Ca… 2-0
Oct 18 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-2
Oct 15 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Oct 26, 2025 Atlético Naci… 5-2 Independiente…
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente… 3-3 Atlético Naci…
May 04, 2025 Independiente… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
Jul 03, 2024 Independiente… 1-2 Atlético Naci…
Jun 19, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-2 Independiente…
Apr 22, 2024 Independiente… 2-2 Atlético Naci…
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.