AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 21, 2025

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
00:30

America de Cali

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
America de Cali Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
America de Cali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Atlético … vs America d… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlético … vs Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 2-1
Nov 02 Atlético … vs America d… 4-1
Oct 31 Atlético … vs Llaneros 0-3
Oct 26 Atlético … vs Independi… 5-2
Oct 22 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 2-0
Oct 18 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-2
Oct 15 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 10 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 0-1
America de Cali Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 America d… vs Atlético … 2-2
Nov 14 America d… vs Independi… 3-0
Nov 09 America d… vs Union Mag… 3-0
Nov 06 America d… vs Chico 0-2
Nov 02 America d… vs Atlético … 4-1
Oct 25 America d… vs Junior 2-1
Oct 19 America d… vs Deportivo… 0-2
Oct 16 America d… vs Junior 0-1
Oct 12 America d… vs La Equida… 3-2
Oct 08 America d… vs Millonari… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2025 America de Cali 2 - 2 Atlético Nacional Copa Colombia
Nov 02, 2025 Atlético Nacional 4 - 1 America de Cali Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2025 America de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Mar 10, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 America de Cali Primera A
Dec 15, 2024 America de Cali 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Copa Colombia
Dec 13, 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 - 1 America de Cali Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 America de Cali Primera A
Jun 07, 2024 America de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Liga Femenina
Jan 28, 2024 America de Cali 4 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 30, 2023 America de Cali 0 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
America de Cali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

-2

Position Gap

4

America de Cali Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.