First Division League (FDL) · May 23, 2023 18:00

Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49

Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 59

Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
1 - 0
FT

Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 59
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense65
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.0
Attack60
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
WWWWW
UP
Al-Qadisiyah Form
DWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS33%
Under 2.558%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Al-Qadisiyah Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Al-Ahli Saudivs
0.48
Al-QadisiyahDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Al-Ahli Sau…-9
Gap#12
Al-Qadisiyah
WR 50% 17 pts
WR 50% 57 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| Al-Qadisiyah | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 57 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
20.0%
| May 19 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr | 2-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Al-Ahli… v Al Taaw… | 0-4 |
| Mar 06 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 1-2 |
| Feb 02 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 1-4 |
Al-Qadisiyah
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Hazem | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Al-Qadi… v Al Riya… | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Ahli… | 1-1 |
| Oct 10 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Hazem | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Al-Qadi… v Al Riya… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Al-Qadi… v Al Wehd… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khal… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Qadi… v Al Wehd… | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khal… | 1-2 |
| May 25 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Fate… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 10, 2023 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| May 14, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Jan 08, 2021 | Al-Qadisiyah | 3-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1-3 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.