First Division League (FDL) · Jan 10, 2023 14:40
Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 59
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 59
1 - 1
FT
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Al-Qadisiyah to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (26%)
0-0 (19%)
0-2 (17%)
0-3 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack32
Defense65
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.0
Al-Qadisiyah Form
LDLLD
STABLE
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS20%
Under 2.577%
Al-Qadisiyah Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Al-Qadisiyahvs
1.37
Al-Ahli SaudiDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Al-Qadisiyah+9
Gap#21
Al-Ahli Sau…
WR 50% 57 pts
WR 50% 17 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 57 |
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17 |
Al-Qadisiyah
4.0%
| Oct 10 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Hazem | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Al-Qadi… v Al Riya… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Al-Qadi… v Al Wehd… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khal… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Qadi… v Al Wehd… | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khal… | 1-2 |
| May 25 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Fate… | 3-0 |
| May 14 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Ahli… | 1-0 |
| Apr 10 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Etti… | 1-3 |
| Mar 20 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Ahli… | 1-0 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Dec 31 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 2-2 |
| Oct 16 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 0-2 |
| Oct 02 | Al-Ahli… v Al Taaw… | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 1-0 |
| Sep 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 2-0 |
| Aug 25 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 0-2 |
| Jun 23 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-3 |
| May 28 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 14, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Jan 08, 2021 | Al-Qadisiyah | 3-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1-3 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Al-Qadisiyah struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.