Shield Cup · Dec 27, 2025 16:00

Al Ahli
PWR 40
2 - 1
FT

Sama Al Sarhan
PWR 34
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 3% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 3%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack31
Defense46
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Al Ahli Form LLWLW
DOWN
Sama Al Sarhan Form LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS16%
Under 2.562%
Al Ahli Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Sama Al Sar… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Al Ahli
vs
0.20
Sama Al Sarhan
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Al Ahli
+3
Gap
#9
Sama Al Sar…
WR 25% 17 pts WR 22% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Al Ahli16457161917
Sama Al Sarhan92078146
Al Ahli 8.0%
Dec 22 Al Ahli v Al Ramt… 0-1
Dec 11 Al Ahli v Al Wihd… 4-1
Dec 05 Al Ahli v Al Huss… 3-0
Nov 28 Al Ahli v Al Fais… 2-1
Nov 21 Al Ahli v Al Ramt… 0-2
Nov 07 Al Ahli v Al Sare… 1-0
Oct 30 Al Ahli v Al Huss… 1-2
Oct 25 Al Ahli v Al Fais… 3-2
Oct 12 Al Ahli v Al Fais… 0-0
Oct 03 Al Ahli v Al Jaze… 1-1
Sama Al Sarhan 6.0%
Dec 13 Sama Al… v Al Salt… 1-0
Dec 05 Sama Al… v Al Jaze… 3-1
Nov 28 Sama Al… v Al Buqa… 3-0
Nov 20 Sama Al… v Shabab … 1-2
Nov 05 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 0-0
Oct 31 Sama Al… v Al Buqa… 1-1
Oct 25 Sama Al… v Al Huss… 4-0
Oct 12 Sama Al… v Al Ramt… 1-0
Oct 05 Sama Al… v Al Wihd… 2-1
Sep 27 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 1-4
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 14, 2025 Sama Al Sarhan 0-1 Al Ahli
Key Factors
Al Ahli struggling (3L in last 5)
Sama Al Sarhan struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.