Shield Cup · Dec 27, 2025 16:00

Al Ahli
PWR 40

Sama Al Sarhan
PWR 34

Al Ahli
PWR 40
2 - 1
FT

Sama Al Sarhan
PWR 34
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (21%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 3% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 3%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack31
Defense46
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Al Ahli Form
LLWLW
DOWN
Sama Al Sarhan Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS16%
Under 2.562%
Al Ahli Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Sama Al Sar… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Al Ahlivs
0.20
Sama Al SarhanDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Al Ahli+3
Gap#9
Sama Al Sar…
WR 25% 17 pts
WR 22% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| Sama Al Sarhan | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
Al Ahli
8.0%
| Dec 22 | Al Ahli v Al Ramt… | 0-1 |
| Dec 11 | Al Ahli v Al Wihd… | 4-1 |
| Dec 05 | Al Ahli v Al Huss… | 3-0 |
| Nov 28 | Al Ahli v Al Fais… | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Al Ahli v Al Ramt… | 0-2 |
| Nov 07 | Al Ahli v Al Sare… | 1-0 |
| Oct 30 | Al Ahli v Al Huss… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Al Ahli v Al Fais… | 3-2 |
| Oct 12 | Al Ahli v Al Fais… | 0-0 |
| Oct 03 | Al Ahli v Al Jaze… | 1-1 |
Sama Al Sarhan
6.0%
| Dec 13 | Sama Al… v Al Salt… | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Sama Al… v Al Jaze… | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Sama Al… v Al Buqa… | 3-0 |
| Nov 20 | Sama Al… v Shabab … | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Sama Al… v Al Fais… | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Sama Al… v Al Buqa… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Sama Al… v Al Huss… | 4-0 |
| Oct 12 | Sama Al… v Al Ramt… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Sama Al… v Al Wihd… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Sama Al… v Al Fais… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 14, 2025 | Sama Al Sarhan | 0-1 | Al Ahli |
Key Factors
Al Ahli struggling (3L in last 5)
Sama Al Sarhan struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.