Predictions Match Details
Primera Division · Nov 24, 2024 17:00

Mictlán
PWR 54
2 - 0
FT

Aurora
PWR 38
48% H 24% D 28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Mictlán to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense57
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.2
Attack31
Defense57
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Mictlán Form LWLW
STABLE
Aurora Form WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS49%
Under 2.549%
Mictlán Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Aurora Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Mictlán
vs
0.86
Aurora
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Mictlán
+1
Gap
#3
Aurora
WR 56% 16 pts WR 24% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Mictlán9513131116
Aurora17449152116
Mictlán 10.0%
Nov 17 Mictlán v Aurora 4-3
Oct 12 Mictlán v Aurora 0-1
Aug 25 Mictlán v Aurora 2-3
Apr 21 Mictlán v Aurora 1-0
Aurora 8.0%
Nov 17 Aurora v Mictlán 4-3
Oct 12 Aurora v Mictlán 0-1
Aug 25 Aurora v Mictlán 2-3
Apr 21 Aurora v Mictlán 1-0
Mar 19 Aurora v Mixco 0-1
Feb 03 Aurora v Mixco 1-0
Sep 18 Aurora v Mixco 0-0
Jul 31 Aurora v Mixco 1-0
Dec 05 Aurora v Mixco 1-1
Dec 02 Aurora v Mixco 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 17, 2024 Aurora 4-3 Mictlán
Oct 12, 2024 Aurora 0-1 Mictlán
Aug 25, 2024 Mictlán 2-3 Aurora
Apr 21, 2024 Mictlán 1-0 Aurora
Key Factors
Aurora struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.