Primera Division · Oct 12, 2024 16:00

Aurora
PWR 38
0 - 1
FT

Mictlán
PWR 54
38% H 26% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (24%) 0-1 (21%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense57
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack51
Defense57
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.2
Aurora Form WLLLD
STABLE
Mictlán Form LW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS25%
Under 2.583%
Aurora Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Mictlán Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Aurora
vs
0.84
Mictlán
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum50%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Aurora
-1
Gap
#2
Mictlán
WR 24% 16 pts WR 56% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Aurora17449152116
Mictlán9513131116
Aurora 6.0%
Aug 25 Aurora v Mictlán 2-3
Apr 21 Aurora v Mictlán 1-0
Mar 19 Aurora v Mixco 0-1
Feb 03 Aurora v Mixco 1-0
Sep 18 Aurora v Mixco 0-0
Jul 31 Aurora v Mixco 1-0
Dec 05 Aurora v Mixco 1-1
Dec 02 Aurora v Mixco 0-0
Nov 21 Aurora v Mixco 3-1
Oct 25 Aurora v Mixco 1-2
Mictlán 10.0%
Aug 25 Mictlán v Aurora 2-3
Apr 21 Mictlán v Aurora 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Aug 25, 2024 Mictlán 2-3 Aurora
Apr 21, 2024 Mictlán 1-0 Aurora
Key Factors
Aurora struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.