La Liga · Oct 23, 2022 19:00
Athletic Club
PWR 30
FC Barcelona
PWR 78
PWR 78
4 - 0
FT
Athletic Club
PWR 30
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: FC Barcelona to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (20%)
0-0 (12%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack85
Defense70
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
FC Barcelona Form
WWWWD
UP
Athletic Club Form
LDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS22%
Under 2.566%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
FC Barcelonavs
0.30
Athletic ClubDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
FC Barcelona+7
Gap#11
Athletic Cl…
WR 80% 188 pts
WR 38% 137 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 75 | 60 | 8 | 7 | 183 | 64 | 188 |
| Athletic Club | 101 | 38 | 23 | 40 | 100 | 108 | 137 |
FC Barcelona
18.0%
| Oct 01 | FC Barc… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Sep 17 | FC Barc… v Elche | 3-0 |
| Aug 21 | FC Barc… v Real So… | 1-4 |
| Aug 20 | FC Barc… v Orense … | 1-2 |
| Aug 14 | FC Barc… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Jul 31 | FC Barc… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| May 07 | FC Barc… v Real Be… | 1-2 |
| May 01 | FC Barc… v Mallorca | 2-1 |
| Apr 21 | FC Barc… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | FC Barc… v Eintrac… | 2-3 |
Athletic Club
12.0%
| Oct 15 | Athleti… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Athleti… v Mallorca | 0-0 |
| Aug 05 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-0 |
| May 22 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Athleti… v Valencia | 0-0 |
| Apr 30 | Athleti… v Atlétic… | 2-0 |
| Apr 17 | Athleti… v Celta d… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Levante | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 27, 2022 | FC Barcelona | 4-0 | Athletic Club |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Athletic Club | 3-2 | FC Barcelona |
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.