Copa del Rey · Jan 20, 2022 20:30
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Athletic Club
PWR 30
3 - 2
FT
FC Barcelona
PWR 67
PWR 67
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Athletic Club to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (22%)
0-0 (21%)
0-2 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack100
Defense39
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G1.8
Athletic Club Form
LWLLL
STABLE
FC Barcelona Form
WDLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS25%
Under 2.580%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Athletic Clubvs
1.06
FC BarcelonaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Athletic Cl…+8
Gap#10
FC Barcelona
WR 67% 39 pts
WR 63% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 39 |
| FC Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 16 |
Athletic Club
4.0%
| Jan 16 | Athleti… v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Athleti… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | Athleti… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Dec 11 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 0-1 |
| Dec 01 | Athleti… v Real Ma… | 1-0 |
| Nov 19 | Athleti… v Levante | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Athleti… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Aug 28 | Athleti… v Celta d… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 0-1 |
FC Barcelona
10.0%
| Dec 18 | FC Barc… v Elche | 3-2 |
| Dec 12 | FC Barc… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Dec 04 | FC Barc… v Real Be… | 0-1 |
| Nov 21 | FC Barc… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | FC Barc… v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | FC Barc… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Aug 15 | FC Barc… v Orense … | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | FC Barc… v Osasuna | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | FC Barc… v Elche | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | FC Barc… v Alavés | 5-1 |
Key Factors
Athletic Club struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.