Eredivisie · Sep 28, 2024 19:00

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 35

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 35

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 35
65% H
21% D
14% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sparta Rotterd… Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Fortuna Sittard Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS24%
Under 2.571%
Sparta Rott… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Fortuna Sit… Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sparta Rotterd…vs
0.36
Fortuna SittardDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Sparta Rott…+4
Gap#9
Fortuna Sit…
WR 46% 36 pts
WR 18% 26 pts
Sparta Rotterd…
14.0%
| Sep 21 | Sparta … v Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Sparta … v GO Ahea… | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta … v Willem … | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta … v Willem … | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta … v Feyenoo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta … v Feyenoo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Sparta … v FC Twen… | 1-1 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta … v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta … v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Sparta … v NAC Bre… | 2-1 |
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
| Sep 22 | Fortuna… v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Sep 22 | Fortuna… v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna… v Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna… v Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortuna… v NAC Bre… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Fortuna… v NEC Nij… | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna… v Almere … | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna… v Almere … | 3-0 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna… v GO Ahea… | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna… v GO Ahea… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotter… | 4-0 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotter… | 4-0 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-2 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-2 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-0 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sparta Rotter… | 3-1 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fortuna Sitta… | 3-0 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Sparta Rotter… | 3-1 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sparta Rotter… | 1-2 | Fortuna Sitta… |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Fortuna Sitta… | 0-1 | Sparta Rotter… |
Key Factors
Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortuna Sittard struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.