AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 09, 2024

Portadown

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Portadown Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Carrick Rangers Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.90 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Portadown Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Portadown vs Ballymena… 0-3
Oct 27 Portadown vs Larne 2-1
Oct 19 Portadown vs Dungannon… 2-0
Sep 28 Portadown vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 21 Portadown vs Crusaders… 0-3
Sep 13 Portadown vs Dungannon… 2-1
Sep 07 Portadown vs Carrick R… 0-1
Aug 17 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-2
Aug 11 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 1-0
Apr 06 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 2-4
Carrick Rangers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Carrick R… vs Linfield 1-3
Oct 19 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 1-1
Oct 12 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 2-1
Oct 05 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Oct 01 Carrick R… vs Queen's U… 0-1
Sep 28 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 4-0
Sep 21 Carrick R… vs Linfield 1-0
Sep 17 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 1-4
Sep 14 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 3-1
Sep 07 Carrick R… vs Portadown 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portadown in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2024 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Portadown Premiership
Jan 06, 2024 Carrick Rangers 1 - 1 Portadown Irish Cup
Apr 15, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.