AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 07, 2024

Carrick Rangers

Home
VS
14:00

Portadown

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Carrick Rangers Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Portadown Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.32 - 1.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Carrick Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-1
Aug 23 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-3
Jul 23 Carrick R… vs Bangor 1-3
May 01 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 3-1
Apr 13 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 2-1
Apr 06 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 3-2
Apr 02 Carrick R… vs Linfield 2-3
Mar 16 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-2
Feb 17 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-1
Feb 10 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-2
Portadown Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-2
Aug 11 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 1-0
Apr 06 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 2-4
Apr 02 Portadown vs Bangor 0-3
Mar 22 Portadown vs Bangor 2-1
Mar 01 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Feb 10 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 2-2
Feb 03 Portadown vs Bangor 2-1
Jan 06 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-1
Dec 26 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Portadown struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 06, 2024 Carrick Rangers 1 - 1 Portadown Irish Cup
Apr 15, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Portadown Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carrick Rangers Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Portadown Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.