Premiership · Apr 15, 2023 14:00

Portadown
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Carrick Rangers
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portadown Form WLDLW
STABLE
Carrick Rangers Form WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS32%
Under 2.568%
Portadown Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Carrick Ran… Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Portadown
vs
0.52
Carrick Rangers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Portadown
-3
Gap
#6
Carrick Ran…
WR 39% 28 pts WR 39% 32 pts
Portadown 10.0%
Apr 07 Portado… v Ballyme… 1-0
Apr 01 Portado… v Glentor… 5-1
Mar 18 Portado… v Crusade… 2-2
Mar 04 Portado… v Carrick… 1-3
Feb 24 Portado… v Dungann… 3-1
Feb 14 Portado… v Clifton… 3-0
Feb 11 Portado… v Ballyme… 0-0
Feb 04 Portado… v Glentor… 0-3
Jan 02 Portado… v Dungann… 0-0
Dec 17 Portado… v Clifton… 4-1
Carrick Rangers 8.0%
Apr 11 Carrick… v Dungann… 2-0
Mar 25 Carrick… v Crusade… 3-0
Mar 18 Carrick… v Glentor… 0-4
Mar 07 Carrick… v Glentor… 1-5
Mar 04 Carrick… v Portado… 1-3
Feb 25 Carrick… v Larne 2-3
Feb 18 Carrick… v Linfield 2-0
Jan 24 Carrick… v Colerai… 1-0
Jan 13 Carrick… v Clifton… 3-3
Dec 26 Carrick… v Larne 0-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1-3 Carrick Range…
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Key Factors
Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.