Premiership · Mar 04, 2023 15:00

Portadown
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Carrick Rangers
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Portadown to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portadown Form WLDLD
STABLE
Carrick Rangers Form LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS15%
Under 2.573%
Portadown Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Carrick Ran… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Portadown
vs
0.20
Carrick Rangers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Portadown
-3
Gap
#6
Carrick Ran…
WR 39% 28 pts WR 39% 32 pts
Portadown 8.0%
Feb 24 Portado… v Dungann… 3-1
Feb 14 Portado… v Clifton… 3-0
Feb 11 Portado… v Ballyme… 0-0
Feb 04 Portado… v Glentor… 0-3
Jan 02 Portado… v Dungann… 0-0
Dec 17 Portado… v Clifton… 4-1
Dec 10 Portado… v Ballyme… 1-0
Nov 26 Portado… v Glentor… 0-2
Nov 19 Portado… v Carrick… 2-0
Nov 08 Portado… v Carrick… 2-0
Carrick Rangers 4.0%
Feb 25 Carrick… v Larne 2-3
Feb 18 Carrick… v Linfield 2-0
Jan 24 Carrick… v Colerai… 1-0
Jan 13 Carrick… v Clifton… 3-3
Dec 26 Carrick… v Larne 0-0
Dec 03 Carrick… v Linfield 3-1
Nov 19 Carrick… v Portado… 2-0
Nov 08 Carrick… v Portado… 2-0
Nov 05 Carrick… v Colerai… 0-1
Oct 07 Carrick… v Glentor… 5-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Key Factors
Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.