Premiership · Aug 20, 2024 18:45

Ballymena United
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Crusaders FC
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Crusaders FC to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ballymena Unit… Form LLWDW
DOWN
Crusaders FC Form WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS46%
Under 2.560%
Ballymena U… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Crusaders FC Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Ballymena Unit…
vs
1.06
Crusaders FC
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Ballymena U…
+1
Gap
#11
Crusaders FC
WR 27% 25 pts WR 39% 24 pts
Ballymena Unit… 10.0%
Aug 16 Ballyme… v Colerai… 4-2
Aug 10 Ballyme… v Linfield 0-2
Aug 03 Ballyme… v Newingt… 4-2
Jul 20 Ballyme… v Bangor 1-1
Jul 16 Ballyme… v Comber … 0-4
Apr 27 Ballyme… v Dungann… 3-0
Apr 16 Ballyme… v Glentor… 1-0
Apr 13 Ballyme… v Carrick… 2-1
Mar 16 Ballyme… v Carrick… 0-2
Mar 09 Ballyme… v Crusade… 2-4
Crusaders FC 16.0%
Aug 09 Crusade… v Glentor… 0-1
Jul 13 Crusade… v Comber … 4-1
May 06 Crusade… v Colerai… 3-2
May 01 Crusade… v Carrick… 3-1
Apr 27 Crusade… v Glentor… 4-0
Apr 20 Crusade… v Colerai… 0-2
Apr 16 Crusade… v Clifton… 2-1
Apr 12 Crusade… v Linfield 1-2
Apr 06 Crusade… v Larne 0-1
Mar 16 Crusade… v Colerai… 1-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Mar 09, 2024 Ballymena Uni… 2-4 Crusaders FC
Oct 13, 2023 Crusaders FC 1-0 Ballymena Uni…
Aug 11, 2023 Ballymena Uni… 1-2 Crusaders FC
May 07, 2023 Ballymena Uni… 0-4 Crusaders FC
Feb 25, 2023 Ballymena Uni… 0-0 Crusaders FC
Nov 14, 2022 Crusaders FC 0-1 Ballymena Uni…
Key Factors
Crusaders FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.