Irish Cup · May 07, 2023 13:30
Ballymena United
PWR 27
Crusaders FC
PWR 41
Ballymena United
PWR 27
0 - 4
FT
Crusaders FC
PWR 41
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ballymena United to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-4
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (40.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense30
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G2.0
Attack58
Defense30
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G2.0
Ballymena Unit… Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Crusaders FC Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Ballymena U… Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Crusaders FC Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Ballymena Unit…vs
0.20
Crusaders FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#30
Ballymena U…-6
Gap#24
Crusaders FC
WR 25% 3 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| Crusaders FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Ballymena Unit…
12.0%
| Apr 29 | Ballyme… v Carrick… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Ballyme… v Dungann… | 2-0 |
| Apr 11 | Ballyme… v Glentor… | 3-2 |
| Apr 07 | Ballyme… v Portado… | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Ballyme… v Larne | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Ballyme… v Colerai… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ballyme… v Crusade… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Ballyme… v Portado… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Ballyme… v Clifton… | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | Ballyme… v Dungann… | 2-0 |
Crusaders FC
12.0%
| Apr 22 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 3-3 |
| Apr 07 | Crusade… v Linfield | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Crusade… v Carrick… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Crusade… v Portado… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 4-2 |
| Nov 14 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Crusade… v Portado… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 25, 2023 | Ballymena Uni… | 0-0 | Crusaders FC |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Crusaders FC | 0-1 | Ballymena Uni… |
Key Factors
Ballymena United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.