Super Cup · Dec 23, 2025 19:00

Tre Fiori
PWR 77

Virtus
PWR 63

Tre Fiori
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT

Virtus
PWR 63
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Tre Fiori to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense83
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack35
Defense88
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.3
Tre Fiori Form
WWWWD
UP
Virtus Form
WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS21%
Under 2.573%
Tre Fiori Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Virtus Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Tre Fiorivs
0.32
VirtusDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Tre Fiori+1
Gap#2
Virtus
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Fiori | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Virtus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Tre Fiori
18.0%
| Dec 20 | Tre Fio… v Faetano | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Tre Fio… v Libertas | 0-4 |
| Dec 10 | Tre Fio… v Cosmos | 3-1 |
| Dec 06 | Tre Fio… v Murata | 4-0 |
| Nov 29 | Tre Fio… v La Fior… | 2-2 |
| Nov 26 | Tre Fio… v Cosmos | 0-4 |
| Nov 22 | Tre Fio… v Virtus | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Tre Fio… v Cailungo | 1-4 |
| Nov 01 | Tre Fio… v Fiorent… | 2-0 |
| Oct 24 | Tre Fio… v Tre Pen… | 0-0 |
Virtus
16.0%
| Dec 20 | Virtus v Cailungo | 6-0 |
| Dec 13 | Virtus v Murata | 0-2 |
| Dec 10 | Virtus v Libertas | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Virtus v Tre Pen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Virtus v Domagna… | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Virtus v Libertas | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Virtus v Tre Fio… | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Virtus v Juvenes… | 0-3 |
| Nov 01 | Virtus v San Gio… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Virtus v Faetano | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Virtus | 0-0 | Tre Fiori |
| May 24, 2025 | Virtus | 1-0 | Tre Fiori |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Virtus | 1-1 | Tre Fiori |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Tre Fiori | 0-2 | Virtus |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Tre Fiori | 0-2 | Virtus |
| Mar 06, 2024 | Virtus | 3-1 | Tre Fiori |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Virtus | 1-0 | Tre Fiori |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Tre Fiori | 0-1 | Virtus |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Tre Fiori | 1-1 | Virtus |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Virtus | 3-1 | Tre Fiori |
Key Factors
Tre Fiori in strong form (4W in last 5)
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.