Super Cup · Dec 23, 2025 19:00

Tre Fiori
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT

Virtus
PWR 63
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Tre Fiori to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense83
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack35
Defense88
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.3
Tre Fiori Form WWWWD
UP
Virtus Form WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS21%
Under 2.573%
Tre Fiori Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Virtus Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Tre Fiori
vs
0.32
Virtus
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Tre Fiori
+1
Gap
#2
Virtus
WR 100% 6 pts WR 67% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Tre Fiori2200316
Virtus3201316
Tre Fiori 18.0%
Dec 20 Tre Fio… v Faetano 3-0
Dec 13 Tre Fio… v Libertas 0-4
Dec 10 Tre Fio… v Cosmos 3-1
Dec 06 Tre Fio… v Murata 4-0
Nov 29 Tre Fio… v La Fior… 2-2
Nov 26 Tre Fio… v Cosmos 0-4
Nov 22 Tre Fio… v Virtus 0-0
Nov 08 Tre Fio… v Cailungo 1-4
Nov 01 Tre Fio… v Fiorent… 2-0
Oct 24 Tre Fio… v Tre Pen… 0-0
Virtus 16.0%
Dec 20 Virtus v Cailungo 6-0
Dec 13 Virtus v Murata 0-2
Dec 10 Virtus v Libertas 1-3
Dec 06 Virtus v Tre Pen… 2-1
Nov 29 Virtus v Domagna… 1-0
Nov 26 Virtus v Libertas 3-0
Nov 22 Virtus v Tre Fio… 0-0
Nov 08 Virtus v Juvenes… 0-3
Nov 01 Virtus v San Gio… 2-0
Oct 26 Virtus v Faetano 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 22, 2025 Virtus 0-0 Tre Fiori
May 24, 2025 Virtus 1-0 Tre Fiori
Apr 19, 2025 Virtus 1-1 Tre Fiori
Dec 21, 2024 Tre Fiori 0-2 Virtus
Apr 03, 2024 Tre Fiori 0-2 Virtus
Mar 06, 2024 Virtus 3-1 Tre Fiori
Jan 20, 2024 Virtus 1-0 Tre Fiori
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0-1 Virtus
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1-1 Virtus
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3-1 Tre Fiori
Key Factors
Tre Fiori in strong form (4W in last 5)
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.