AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Dec 21, 2024

Tre Fiori

Home
VS
17:00

Virtus

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Virtus Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.68 - 0.99
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (19%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Tre Fiori Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 2-2
Dec 07 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 2-2
Dec 01 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 2-1
Nov 27 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 4-0
Nov 24 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 1-6
Nov 08 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 1-0
Nov 02 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-2
Oct 22 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 0-3
Sep 28 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-2
Sep 24 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-0
Virtus Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Virtus vs Tre Penne 1-2
Dec 01 Virtus vs Libertas 5-2
Nov 23 Virtus vs Cailungo 0-7
Nov 01 Virtus vs Folgore 1-0
Oct 26 Virtus vs Murata 2-1
Oct 23 Virtus vs Cosmos 2-2
Oct 20 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 0-0
Oct 05 Virtus vs Cosmos 1-3
Sep 25 Virtus vs Cosmos 0-1
Sep 14 Virtus vs Domagnano 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Fiori in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Virtus in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 03, 2024 Tre Fiori 0 - 2 Virtus Coppa Titano
Mar 06, 2024 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Jan 20, 2024 Virtus 1 - 0 Tre Fiori Campionato
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power 0
Virtus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Tre Fiori Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Virtus Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.