Coppa Titano · Mar 06, 2024 19:45

Virtus
PWR 67
3 - 1
FT

Tre Fiori
PWR 58
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Virtus to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense80
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.6
Attack68
Defense61
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Virtus Form DWWWW
STABLE
Tre Fiori Form LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS17%
Under 2.578%
Virtus Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Tre Fiori Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Virtus
vs
0.25
Tre Fiori
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Virtus
+3
Gap
#4
Tre Fiori
WR 63% 41 pts WR 44% 25 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Virtus191252311141
Tre Fiori16745311825
Virtus 18.0%
Feb 24 Virtus v Domagna… 0-0
Feb 20 Virtus v La Fior… 0-1
Feb 17 Virtus v San Mar… 3-2
Feb 03 Virtus v Libertas 0-2
Jan 24 Virtus v Pennaro… 1-4
Jan 20 Virtus v Tre Fio… 1-0
Jan 14 Virtus v Tre Pen… 1-2
Dec 17 Virtus v Cailungo 3-0
Dec 09 Virtus v Cosmos 3-0
Dec 06 Virtus v Domagna… 0-2
Tre Fiori 10.0%
Mar 02 Tre Fio… v San Mar… 1-3
Feb 25 Tre Fio… v Juvenes… 2-1
Feb 20 Tre Fio… v Cosmos 1-1
Feb 17 Tre Fio… v Faetano 4-2
Feb 03 Tre Fio… v Pennaro… 3-0
Jan 24 Tre Fio… v San Gio… 3-1
Jan 20 Tre Fio… v Virtus 1-0
Jan 14 Tre Fio… v Domagna… 2-2
Dec 16 Tre Fio… v Libertas 2-1
Dec 10 Tre Fio… v Murata 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 20, 2024 Virtus 1-0 Tre Fiori
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0-1 Virtus
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1-1 Virtus
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3-1 Tre Fiori
Key Factors
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.