Coppa Titano · Mar 06, 2024 19:45

Virtus
PWR 67

Tre Fiori
PWR 58

Virtus
PWR 67
3 - 1
FT

Tre Fiori
PWR 58
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Virtus to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense80
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.6
Attack68
Defense61
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Virtus Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Tre Fiori Form
LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS17%
Under 2.578%
Virtus Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Tre Fiori Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Virtusvs
0.25
Tre FioriDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Virtus+3
Gap#4
Tre Fiori
WR 63% 41 pts
WR 44% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
| Tre Fiori | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 25 |
Virtus
18.0%
| Feb 24 | Virtus v Domagna… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Virtus v La Fior… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Virtus v San Mar… | 3-2 |
| Feb 03 | Virtus v Libertas | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Virtus v Pennaro… | 1-4 |
| Jan 20 | Virtus v Tre Fio… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Virtus v Tre Pen… | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Virtus v Cailungo | 3-0 |
| Dec 09 | Virtus v Cosmos | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Virtus v Domagna… | 0-2 |
Tre Fiori
10.0%
| Mar 02 | Tre Fio… v San Mar… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | Tre Fio… v Juvenes… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Tre Fio… v Cosmos | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Tre Fio… v Faetano | 4-2 |
| Feb 03 | Tre Fio… v Pennaro… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tre Fio… v San Gio… | 3-1 |
| Jan 20 | Tre Fio… v Virtus | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Tre Fio… v Domagna… | 2-2 |
| Dec 16 | Tre Fio… v Libertas | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Tre Fio… v Murata | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 20, 2024 | Virtus | 1-0 | Tre Fiori |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Tre Fiori | 0-1 | Virtus |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Tre Fiori | 1-1 | Virtus |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Virtus | 3-1 | Tre Fiori |
Key Factors
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.