Coppa Titano · Dec 14, 2022 19:45

Virtus
PWR 67
3 - 1
FT

Tre Fiori
PWR 58
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (48%) 0-1 (21%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (5%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense80
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.6
Attack68
Defense61
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Virtus Form DWWDD
STABLE
Tre Fiori Form WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS9%
Under 2.596%
Virtus Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Tre Fiori Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Virtus
vs
0.44
Tre Fiori
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Virtus
+3
Gap
#4
Tre Fiori
WR 63% 41 pts WR 44% 25 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Virtus191252311141
Tre Fiori16745311825
Virtus 14.0%
Dec 03 Virtus v Cosmos 0-0
Nov 27 Virtus v Murata 1-2
Nov 13 Virtus v Cailungo 1-3
Nov 05 Virtus v Tre Pen… 0-0
Oct 19 Virtus v Cosmos 1-1
Oct 01 Virtus v Libertas 1-1
Sep 02 Virtus v Domagna… 1-2
May 15 Virtus v Pennaro… 1-1
May 11 Virtus v Pennaro… 0-1
Apr 21 Virtus v Murata 1-0
Tre Fiori 16.0%
Nov 26 Tre Fio… v Domagna… 2-1
Nov 05 Tre Fio… v Murata 0-1
Oct 15 Tre Fio… v Pennaro… 0-1
Oct 08 Tre Fio… v Libertas 1-2
Sep 04 Tre Fio… v Faetano 4-0
Aug 30 Tre Fio… v La Fior… 1-2
May 25 Tre Fio… v Pennaro… 1-2
May 15 Tre Fio… v Faetano 1-1
May 11 Tre Fio… v Faetano 1-1
Apr 27 Tre Fio… v La Fior… 2-3
Key Factors
Tre Fiori in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.