Challenge League · Jan 24, 2025 18:30

Neuchâtel Xamax
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Neuchâtel Xamax Form LLLWL
DOWN
Stade Lausanne… Form LDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS83%
Under 2.528%
Neuchâtel X… Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Stade Lausa… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.83
Neuchâtel Xamax
vs
1.86
Stade Lausanne…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Neuchâtel X…
-1
Gap
#4
Stade Lausa…
WR 40% 25 pts WR 50% 32 pts
Neuchâtel Xamax 4.0%
Jan 17 Neuchât… v Stade N… 1-2
Dec 13 Neuchât… v FC Aarau 1-3
Dec 06 Neuchât… v Stade N… 2-1
Nov 29 Neuchât… v Stade L… 1-2
Nov 08 Neuchât… v FC Vaduz 2-1
Oct 26 Neuchât… v Bellinz… 0-2
Sep 23 Neuchât… v Stade N… 3-2
Aug 30 Neuchât… v FC Vaduz 4-1
Aug 17 Neuchât… v Biel-Bi… 2-1
Aug 09 Neuchât… v Bellinz… 2-2
Stade Lausanne… 10.0%
Nov 29 Stade L… v Neuchât… 1-2
Nov 01 Stade L… v FC Vaduz 2-2
Oct 25 Stade L… v Étoile … 1-1
Oct 05 Stade L… v FC WIL … 2-2
Sep 27 Stade L… v Étoile … 5-1
Sep 20 Stade L… v FC WIL … 0-0
Aug 25 Stade L… v FC Vaduz 3-1
Jul 19 Stade L… v Neuchât… 3-2
Jun 29 Stade L… v Étoile … 2-3
May 21 Stade L… v FC Luze… 1-2
Head-to-Head (7)
Nov 29, 2024 Stade Lausann… 1-2 Neuchâtel Xam…
Jul 19, 2024 Neuchâtel Xam… 3-2 Stade Lausann…
May 05, 2023 Stade Lausann… 2-0 Neuchâtel Xam…
Apr 02, 2023 Neuchâtel Xam… 1-1 Stade Lausann…
Jan 11, 2023 Stade Lausann… 2-2 Neuchâtel Xam…
Nov 11, 2022 Neuchâtel Xam… 2-1 Stade Lausann…
Sep 03, 2022 Stade Lausann… 2-1 Neuchâtel Xam…
Key Factors
Neuchâtel Xamax struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.