Challenge Cup · Apr 19, 2025 12:00
PietĂ Hotspurs
PWR 77
Marsa
PWR 41
PietĂ Hotspurs
PWR 77
3 - 2
FT
Marsa
PWR 41
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: PietĂ Hotspurs to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense48
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.5
Attack47
Defense42
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
PietĂ Hotspurs Form
WWWLW
UP
Marsa Form
WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS69%
Under 2.530%
Pietà Hotsp… Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Marsa Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
PietĂ Hotspursvs
1.22
MarsaDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Pietà Hotsp…+2
Gap#4
Marsa
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PietĂ Hotspurs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Marsa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
PietĂ Hotspurs
16.0%
| Apr 05 | Pietà H… v Swieqi … | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Pietà H… v Marsa | 5-2 |
| Feb 25 | Pietà H… v Fgura U… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Pietà H… v Mgarr U… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Pietà H… v St. And… | 1-3 |
| Jan 26 | Pietà H… v Gudja U… | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Pietà H… v Marsa | 1-5 |
| Jan 04 | Pietà H… v Swieqi … | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Pietà H… v Marsa | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | Pietà H… v Mtarfa | 1-1 |
Marsa
8.0%
| Apr 12 | Marsa v Fgura U… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Marsa v Santa L… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Marsa v Zebbug … | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Marsa v Pietà H… | 5-2 |
| Feb 27 | Marsa v Mgarr U… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Marsa v St. And… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Marsa v Swieqi … | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Marsa v Mgarr U… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Marsa v Gudja U… | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Marsa v St. And… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 01, 2025 | PietĂ Hotspurs | 5-2 | Marsa |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PietĂ Hotspurs | 1-5 | Marsa |
| Dec 22, 2024 | PietĂ Hotspurs | 1-0 | Marsa |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Marsa | 3-0 | PietĂ Hotspurs |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PietĂ Hotspurs | 1-1 | Marsa |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Marsa | 1-3 | PietĂ Hotspurs |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Marsa | 1-2 | PietĂ Hotspurs |
| Nov 20, 2021 | PietĂ Hotspurs | 2-0 | Marsa |
| Feb 07, 2021 | Marsa | 2-0 | PietĂ Hotspurs |
Key Factors
PietĂ Hotspurs in strong form (4W in last 5)
Marsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.