AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 20, 2024

Meizhou Kejia

Home
VS
11:35

Beijing Guoan

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Meizhou Kejia Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Beijing Guoan Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.50 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Meizhou Kejia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Beijing Guoan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Meizhou Kejia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Meizhou K… vs Beijing G… 3-2
Jul 12 Meizhou K… vs Beijing G… 3-1
Apr 15 Meizhou K… vs Beijing G… 1-1
Jul 07 Meizhou K… vs Beijing G… 0-0
Jun 17 Meizhou K… vs Beijing G… 2-2
Beijing Guoan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 3-2
Jul 12 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 3-1
Apr 15 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 1-1
Jul 07 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 0-0
Jun 17 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 Beijing Guoan 3 - 2 Meizhou Kejia Super League
Jul 12, 2023 Meizhou Kejia 3 - 1 Beijing Guoan Super League
Apr 15, 2023 Beijing Guoan 1 - 1 Meizhou Kejia Super League
Jul 07, 2022 Beijing Guoan 0 - 0 Meizhou Kejia Super League
Jun 17, 2022 Meizhou Kejia 2 - 2 Beijing Guoan Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Meizhou Kejia to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Meizhou Kejia Power 0
Beijing Guoan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.