Super League · May 11, 2024 12:00

Beijing Guoan
PWR 57

Meizhou Kejia
PWR 29

Beijing Guoan
PWR 57
3 - 2
FT

Meizhou Kejia
PWR 29
38% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Beijing Guoan to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (61%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (12%)
1-1 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 74.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack72
Defense48
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack43
Defense26
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.1
Beijing Guoan Form
LDDD
STABLE
Meizhou Kejia Form
WDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.51%
BTTS5%
Under 2.599%
Beijing Guo… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Meizhou Kej… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Beijing Guoanvs
0.20
Meizhou KejiaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Beijing Guo…+11
Gap#15
Meizhou Kej…
WR 50% 64 pts
WR 17% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74 | 54 | 64 |
| Meizhou Kejia | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 44 | 76 | 28 |
Beijing Guoan
7.5%
| Jul 12 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 3-1 |
| Apr 15 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 1-1 |
| Jul 07 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 0-0 |
| Jun 17 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 2-2 |
Meizhou Kejia
12.5%
| Jul 12 | Meizhou… v Beijing… | 3-1 |
| Apr 15 | Meizhou… v Beijing… | 1-1 |
| Jul 07 | Meizhou… v Beijing… | 0-0 |
| Jun 17 | Meizhou… v Beijing… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jul 12, 2023 | Meizhou Kejia | 3-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 | Meizhou Kejia |
| Jul 07, 2022 | Beijing Guoan | 0-0 | Meizhou Kejia |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Meizhou Kejia | 2-2 | Beijing Guoan |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.