Super League · May 11, 2024 12:00

Beijing Guoan
PWR 57
3 - 2
FT

Meizhou Kejia
PWR 29
38% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Beijing Guoan to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (61%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 74.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack72
Defense48
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack43
Defense26
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.1
Beijing Guoan Form LDDD
STABLE
Meizhou Kejia Form WDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.51%
BTTS5%
Under 2.599%
Beijing Guo… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Meizhou Kej… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Beijing Guoan
vs
0.20
Meizhou Kejia
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Beijing Guo…
+11
Gap
#15
Meizhou Kej…
WR 50% 64 pts WR 17% 28 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Beijing Guoan3618108745464
Meizhou Kejia3661020447628
Beijing Guoan 7.5%
Jul 12 Beijing… v Meizhou… 3-1
Apr 15 Beijing… v Meizhou… 1-1
Jul 07 Beijing… v Meizhou… 0-0
Jun 17 Beijing… v Meizhou… 2-2
Meizhou Kejia 12.5%
Jul 12 Meizhou… v Beijing… 3-1
Apr 15 Meizhou… v Beijing… 1-1
Jul 07 Meizhou… v Beijing… 0-0
Jun 17 Meizhou… v Beijing… 2-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Jul 12, 2023 Meizhou Kejia 3-1 Beijing Guoan
Apr 15, 2023 Beijing Guoan 1-1 Meizhou Kejia
Jul 07, 2022 Beijing Guoan 0-0 Meizhou Kejia
Jun 17, 2022 Meizhou Kejia 2-2 Beijing Guoan
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.