AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 06, 2021

Brentford

Home
VS
15:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Brentford Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Bolton Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.80 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brentford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Brentford Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Brentford vs Mansfield… 1-0
Feb 24 Brentford vs Sheffield… 3-0
Feb 23 Brentford vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Feb 06 Brentford vs Exeter Ci… 3-2
Jan 05 Brentford vs Tottenham 2-0
Dec 29 Brentford vs Port Vale 0-0
Dec 26 Brentford vs Cardiff 2-3
Dec 12 Brentford vs Nottingha… 1-3
Nov 24 Brentford vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Nov 14 Brentford vs Exeter Ci… 2-2
Bolton Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Bolton vs Southend 0-1
Feb 17 Bolton vs Mansfield… 2-3
Feb 13 Bolton vs Stevenage 1-0
Feb 06 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 1-1
Jan 30 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 2-0
Jan 12 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 1-1
Jan 09 Bolton vs Reading FC 1-0
Dec 26 Bolton vs Reading FC 2-1
Dec 05 Bolton vs Port Vale 3-6
Nov 28 Bolton vs Southend 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brentford in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bolton in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2020 Bolton 1 - 0 Brentford League Two
Sep 05, 2020 Bolton 1 - 2 Brentford League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brentford to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brentford Power 37
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.