Welsh Cup · Nov 22, 2025 18:15
Caernarfon Town
PWR 54
Colwyn Bay
PWR 50
Caernarfon Town
PWR 54
1 - 3
FT
Colwyn Bay
PWR 50
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack79
Defense33
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.9
Attack53
Defense48
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.5
Caernarfon Town Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Colwyn Bay Form
LWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS24%
Under 2.584%
Caernarfon … Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Colwyn Bay Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Caernarfon Townvs
0.57
Colwyn BayDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Caernarfon …+1
Gap#5
Colwyn Bay
WR 50% 19 pts
WR 50% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 19 |
| Colwyn Bay | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Caernarfon Town
12.0%
| Nov 15 | Caernar… v Llanell… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Caernar… v Haverfo… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Caernar… v The New… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Caernar… v Briton … | 4-1 |
| Oct 25 | Caernar… v Penybont | 0-2 |
| Oct 18 | Caernar… v Newtown… | 0-3 |
| Oct 18 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 5-1 |
| Oct 11 | Caernar… v Barry T… | 2-2 |
| Oct 07 | Caernar… v The New… | 1-3 |
| Oct 04 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 1-0 |
Colwyn Bay
10.0%
| Nov 15 | Colwyn … v Haverfo… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Colwyn … v Llanell… | 3-1 |
| Nov 01 | Colwyn … v Barry T… | 1-4 |
| Oct 25 | Colwyn … v Briton … | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Colwyn … v Cardiff… | 0-0 |
| Oct 07 | Colwyn … v Flint T… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Colwyn … v Caernar… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Colwyn … v Penybont | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Colwyn … v Bala To… | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Colwyn … v Llanell… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 | Caernarfon To… |
| Aug 01, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 3-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Caernarfon To… | 2-1 | Colwyn Bay |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Colwyn Bay | 0-4 | Caernarfon To… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.