AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Erovnuli Liga 2 Dec 06, 2025

Samtredia

Home
VS
09:30

Merani Martvili

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Samtredia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Merani Martvili Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.70 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samtredia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Merani Martvili Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Samtredia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Samtredia vs Meshakhte 1-0
Nov 25 Samtredia vs Gonio 3-2
Nov 21 Samtredia vs Dinamo Tb… 1-2
Nov 08 Samtredia vs Paris FC 1-1
Nov 03 Samtredia vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Oct 30 Samtredia vs Dila 0-2
Oct 26 Samtredia vs Sioni Bol… 2-1
Oct 21 Samtredia vs Rustavi 3-0
Oct 17 Samtredia vs Saburtalo… 0-1
Oct 05 Samtredia vs Merani Ma… 1-1
Merani Martvili Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Merani Ma… vs Saburtalo… 3-2
Nov 25 Merani Ma… vs Meshakhte 1-1
Nov 21 Merani Ma… vs Gonio 4-0
Nov 07 Merani Ma… vs Dinamo Tb… 2-2
Nov 01 Merani Ma… vs Paris FC 0-0
Oct 26 Merani Ma… vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Oct 21 Merani Ma… vs Sioni Bol… 1-0
Oct 17 Merani Ma… vs Rustavi 0-3
Oct 05 Merani Ma… vs Samtredia 1-1
Oct 01 Merani Ma… vs Saburtalo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Merani Martvili 1 - 1 Samtredia Erovnuli Liga 2
Aug 11, 2025 Samtredia 4 - 1 Merani Martvili Erovnuli Liga 2
Apr 28, 2025 Merani Martvili 1 - 0 Samtredia Erovnuli Liga 2
Nov 27, 2022 Samtredia 1 - 0 Merani Martvili Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 30, 2022 Merani Martvili 1 - 2 Samtredia Erovnuli Liga 2
Jun 15, 2022 Samtredia 3 - 1 Merani Martvili Erovnuli Liga 2
Apr 11, 2022 Merani Martvili 3 - 1 Samtredia Erovnuli Liga 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Samtredia to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samtredia Power 0
Merani Martvili Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.